Ok., things seem to be moving. That's good.
I agree with Spm, that (non-)Cailin is really dangerously quiet. I can't say anything bad of her, except to the fact, that now the posting has somewhat ceased after the change of the roles. She told us something about her brother being the more intelligent and polite (or something), but she kind of didn't note us on these one-message policies. ANd what to say about this substitution-stuff anyway? A well-meaning villager who wants to not fail us others as she has RL things going on, or the duck who wants to take adventage of her RL fortunes?
Anyway. Even as I have tried to raise further questions today about the other possibilities we have (over this widely shared theory of Mith's owlness, leading to the primary suspects being Kath, Morm and Cailin), I still think it as the safest voting scheme today. Well why? If Mith-goose scenario is wrong, then Valier is innocent, Spm's chances of being turned into something feathery are quite small, and would need a certain interpretation of the rules to add on that. My chances of being converted are small also - and I happen to know, that nothing happened. But as Morm said. You can just take it or leave it. You have just my words on this thread. But then we can pick from just the three candidates. That's easier. And that's why I worry about it.
But, if we make a misguided lynch today, it all depends on tomorrow. And I can't be sure, whether I will be there then, so I have tried to help the village with these questions of mine today. They really should be discussed tomorrow. For if we go wrong today, it really forces us to think more widely.
Now someone said, I might be the goose here. I admit I have tried to add complexity to our choices, but not with the idea of misguiding us, but for us to see the real possibilities. I have never been in a game with a cobbler (or a goose), and don't know, what's the "standard procedure" to being a goose. But I just see Glirdan's actions so reckless and overhasty to benefit either himself (as a goose) or the ducks.
But what I'm really asking you fellow villagers, is that when you think about possible scenarios, you should be able to see the larger picture. You can't go on blaming Glirdan as a goose - and me as a goose at the same time! So if you think I am the goose, then Glirdan was innocent (and thence, probably an owl)! See the consequences of your ideas, and do not try to muddy the waters! If Glirdan was innocent - and I'm the goose, what the heck was the ordo-Mith then doing?
But shouldn't we also consider this possibility of two owls I mentioned early (well maybe tomorrow, if we miss today)? Surely we should. It leaves us with basically the list of suspects than does the Owl-Mith scenario, but it leaves the possibility of the goose being still loose - it doesn't mean s/he evidently is still around, but it would be possible then. And that would be bad news indeed.
If we would come to believe on this scenario (remember: the possibility of a goose within us requires somehow both Glirdy and Mith being owls - or then some Diamond-magic
) I would go for looking at the possible goose candidates among those who really try to persuade us not to see the track of our thoughts, but who would like us to think in a most simple and misguided manner...
EDIT: X-posted with Morm & Valier