Actually the key to the whole thing is who would the ducks kill on Day 1....
We know that Nilp and one of JennyHallu and Spawn was. If not both then which was the cursed? That also means that we are probably looking for a "fly under the radar" duck if it is one of the original 3 who survives. I will go back to Day 1 - once again.....
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“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace
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