Well. This seems like my testament now...
I have to go to sleep, as it is coming 1 AM (my time here - and I truly remember the last day here).
I don't think I have been as helpful as I could have been, but anyways.
Just a few thoughts - not so much basing now on any "deep analysis", but overall appearances of things.
Glirdan is so quiet! He told, he would be off a lot, but this is just a little too much (no posts today, am I right?).
Sleepy seems to be in his not-whole-heartedly-in -kind of gamer attitude right now. Just stir him up, with whatever ways you come up with (bold accusations, or whatever), and he might be of great help - if innocent.
Elu I kind of hope, doesn't turn out today. It would be best to us all. In this, I'm inclined to think the same as Roa: one either plays or then not. A totally silent villager is just an asset to the ducks, and shifting the balance - and being a bad sport.
Lote, even though a newbie to whom I would give all the benefit of doubt, should start to speak for herself. Really, Lote! C'mon! We won't bite (just some of us might kill you the next day, but anyhow, that's what this game is all about - try it!)
Mith & Spm I'm quite convinced to be the one's they have been declared to be - at least Mith's revealment of my innocence was right...

And if there is a foolery of a grand-kind, it will be revealed soon enough (there would at least one person in the village, that would be knowledgeable of that).
Kath & Cailin I do not know... They have both played under my radar, and thence could be dangerous (my hunches are always bad)
Lalaith goes to the same category, but is here separate from them, as I have taken some closer look on her. Very careful - almost too careful...
Spawn & Ang are riddles to me, for the time being. They have been intelligent and in all the senses, very helpful (although Spawn's analysis on Mith was probably a bit misguided - but then again, being a gifted and being a wolf/duck have some common elements - you are much more scared of your own life than as being an ordo).
This list leaves me with
Morm, Valier, Roa and Jenny... (I'll just need a cigarette, before going into these people - and Roa: I know it's bad for my health, I truly know!)
EDIT: X-posted with Glirdy...