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Old 03-23-2006, 12:31 PM   #613
Caranlondien
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Bag-Endless-Fuel
Posts: 339
Caranlondien has just left Hobbiton.
Okay, I was on Day Three, post #416...

Post #416, continued
Says perhaps werewolves took advantage of Eonwe's situation on Day Two (he had trouble getting to a computer), and took advantage of that to lynch him.
Summarizes what the dead innocent said that we still aren't sure of:
Garin thinks Cailín is innocent
Anguirel defends Cailín against Samwise; LMP points suspicion to Glirdan, since Anguirel voted for him.
Makes another list, which you can go back and read if you want; It's too much to try to summarize his summaries!

DAY FOUR

Post #417
Analyzes Spawn's posts for clues.

Post #418
Says Eomer, TGWBS, and Farael have all sown confusion. We now know that none of these people were wolves, although Farael was a Lover.
Says that Kath is worthy of "having an eye kept on her", but right now all the noise about her is a distraction from the more obvious candidate, Lhuna. Says TGBWS's suggestion that Spawn did NOT dream of Lhuna is "garbage".

Post #419
Rejects TGWBS's plan.

Post #423
Corrects himself about Lhuna's Day One vote.

Post #424
Says perhaps Lhuna's response to TGWBS's plan ("it makes me think you are the sole male wolf") is close to the truth - perhaps there are 3 females and 1 male wolf. Suggests we double-lynch TGWBS with Lhuna instead of Kath. Trying to shift suspicion away from Kath? Possibly...

Post #426
Responds to me saying I would support a TGWBS lynching.

Post #429
Realizes he can't rely on Lhuna to help lynch TGWBS, and so votes for Lhuna.
Explains his suspicions of Eomer and TGWBS. Mild accusation against Formendacil for defending Lhuna and accusing Kath. Continues to think all the talk of Kath is a distraction.
Quote:
I think tar-ancalime, Caranlondien, Thinlomien, Samwise, & Farael are probably innocent. I think that Gurthang & Cailín are probably not werewolves either. I'm not sure about Valier, Lalaith, Glirdan, Kath, Naria, & Celuien. I'm really suspicious of Formendacil, Eomer, & Guy. And I think Lhunardawen is so furry it must hurt
DAY FOUR

Post #479
Agrees with Lalaith's suspicions of TGWBS. Calls Cailin "one of the more suspicious based on voting records." Responds to Lalaith (who said she was most suspicious of Formendacil, TGWBS, and LMP) by saying that a healthy analysis of all three should point her in the right direction.

Post #481
Agrees with Cailin that we shouldn't put any stock in what Lhuna said at the end of Day Three. Says he is suspicious of TGWBS. Asks Lalaith to post more to allay suspicions of her.

Post #482
Agrees with tar-a that we should look at Glirdan.

Post #485
Thinks Farael may have let something slip in his desperation.

Post #522
Posts chart of votes. Concludes TGWBS is a werewolf, and makes conjectures about others' innocence based on TGWBS's assumed guilt.

Post #532
Responds to a point raised in my analysis of Farael, and says maybe TGWBS isn't a wolf. Thinks more, then says maybe he is a wolf.

Post #533
Agrees with TGWBS that double-lynches favor the innocents.

Post #534
Correction / joke

Post #550
Defends tar-a's post as not seeming contradictory to him. Agrees that Lhuna voters are not automatically innocent.

Post #551
Continues to think TGWBS is guilty, and votes for him. Makes a "just for the record" post of who he thinks is guilty / not guilty.

DAY FIVE

Post #574
Now thinks Lhuna voters are more likely to be guilty.

Post #591
Analyzes everyone based on several factors; conclude Samwise, Caranlondien, and LMP look the most suspicious (but exempts himself since he "knows he's innocent").
Points out that perhaps double lynches should not continue, since we no longer have a large number-advantage.

Conclusion:
I keep asking myself why LMP is still alive. A lot of us have been inclined to trust him. This is bordering on dangerous territory, but he is definitely clever enough to fool us all through an implied masquerade. I'm just not sure about him, and I have to think.

I'll be back in a bit
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