Response to Lommy #604: it wasn't a mathematically backed-up theory, it was simply based on the assumption that day one votes tend to be somewhat random and not necessarily based on good reasoning, so day one is the least wise day to double lynch. I guess I'm paying the price now for not being precise enough back then.
I agree with Cailin that we have a very talented liar in our midst and I think we must all be very careful.
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