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Old 03-21-2006, 05:59 PM   #538
tar-ancalime
Shade of Carn Dûm
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: abaft the beam
Posts: 303
tar-ancalime has just left Hobbiton.
I'm becoming more and more certain that Glirdan is a wolf. Dangerously certain, as I fear I'm becoming singleminded about it. This is not a good thing, as (a) I can't know for sure, of course, and I don't want to ignore evidence to the contrary, and (b) even if I'm right there's still another wolf out there. Anyway, so be it.

Thanks for the alternative analysis, Celuien. I'm with you on most of it but I'd like to raise a couple of points.

Quote:
#171: Analysis of Caralondien. Finds it odd that she says she didn’t want to vote for Ang, then did when it would be a safe vote.

Interesting point, though Cana;ondien has been quite logical and helpful recently.
Glirdan was wrong about this. What Caranlondien said was that the village shouldn't lynch the "true lumberjack" (i.e. herself); she set up Ang as something like a false one who would not be a good replacement for her.

Quote:
#338: Laments spawn. Finds a Kath dream more likely than a Lhuna dream. Thinks that Kath could get away with being a wolf. Asks TGWBS why the wolves would attack females only since they did attack Ang before and says that we can’t base our votes on the idea that the wolves will attack in this manner because there’s no proof that they will (in reference to the lynch all males plan).

Sensible with regard to the plan. But raises my suspicion a little with regard to dense of Lhuna. Only vaguely gives suspicion of Kath, never comes out and says if he suspects her or not - just mentions thatt a dream of Kath is more likely than Lhuna.
Regarding The Plan: (note, once and for all, that I was against the Plan; but not for this reason) It doesn't matter in this plan if the wolves choose to kill all women or not. However, it's likely that they would, because killing more men would only help the villagers. By lynching all the men, we would be, well, getting rid of the men; wolf kills of men would be helping us to reach our goal. So IF we were going to implement this plan, we could do it without worrying about whether or not the wolves would compliantly kill only women--if they didn't, they'd be helping us.
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Having fun wolfing it to the bitter end, I see, gaur-ancalime (lmp, ww13)
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