Quote:
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Originally Posted by the guy who be short
Statistics dictate that two lynchings are better than one. Whether I am a wolf, an innocent or a psychotic bunny, this will not change.
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They do?
Most double-lynchings I've seen have been two ordos. Occassionally you'll get a Wolf as well. Yesterday's doublelynch, while extremely fortuitious for us, was a first, I'm sure, in Tol-in-Gaurhoth history. However, catching two Werewolves means that the number of Werewolves in the village has been halved, while the overall numbers of the village are still over half the original number- meaning that the chances of catching a Werewolf, based on simple stats, have gone DOWN since yesterday.
Which does not mean that a Double-lynch could not catch us a Werewolf- it just means that I refute
TGWBS's statement here, and reaffirm my dislike of double-lynchings. Yes, it may catch you a Werewolf, but it will also kill off an innocent.
Fortunately, our village is not yet so low in numbers that we are desperately in need of every Innocent we can lay hands on, but it still seems rather wastefully imprudent to me to be lynching people off every which way we turn.
Anyway...
Having ranting against the ills of double-lynchings, let me say what I'm thinking about
TGWBS, yet again:
He's innocent. At least, I think he is. Past experience leads me to think that he's being as innocently normal as we can expect.
TGWBS is certainly capable of bold strokes such as he's been accused of, but I somehow don't think that he's guilty of them this time. If he is, then the Werewolves are in serious trouble, with two of their number gone.
Naria's name has also come up a fair bit today as being potentially wolfish. I'm much more hesitant to declare her innocent than
TGWBS, although she has been playing to form. However,
Naria's style is, by its very nature, rather quiet and cryptic. It wouldn't take much to change suspicious Innocent to suspicious Wolf in her case. I think her a more likely wolf than
TGWBS, but I'm not sure yet that she's wolvish...