Wow, so much to read through. I'm going to (attempt to) make this short, since I doubt I'm the only one that's awed by the sheer amount of talk. I'll just post thoughts as they pop into my head while I read.
First,
Valier sent a hidden message awhile back. This actually makes me think she is innocent. It makes no sense for a wolf to do it, especially given that they can
PM during the Day. A hidden message only draws unwanted attention. I think she was just having some fun seeing who would find it.
Lhuna: Someone(I think
Spawn?) brought up some good points about her, and others have voiced similar suspicion. One thing I think is in her favor is actually what is causing suspicion: that she would not break the tie yesterday. It is a guarantee of being suspected, as she is being, and for a wolf it is bad strategy. If you break a tie, one of the two dies, then the next Day the other one is likely to be suspected a lot. If both are lynched, the village begins the next Day fresh, with no stale near lynchees. In short, breaking a tie keeps the village in confusion for another Day, whereas leaving a tie kills both but saves the village time. A wolf would typically break a tie.
LMP is making sense to me, and I like his analysis. Although I should point out that (in post #272) he said
Lalaith discredited looking at pairs when she had brought up the idea just 7 posts earlier. From what I see, it looks like she states dislike for the idea in both posts. That's not a good mark for him, and that vote still lingers on my mind. Watching him.
As I said (unfortunately before I realised that Day had ended), I'll be also be watching
Farael and
Glirdan, and maybe
Cailín.
Okay, I finished reading through the second Day, so I'll go ahead and post my thoughts now. I'll be back after reading toDay.
P.S. Late response, I know, but I had noticed that you skipped me
Cailín, and I was rather offended, but I do accept your apology.