[littlemanpoet]

You have been triple posting partly because I've been busy analyzing and preparing one post. Here goes.

One of the best werewolf strategies is to say as much that is true as you can, so that the few lies you must tell slip by. However, some basically honest people can't help themselves, and when they play werewolf, they confess more than they mean to. Cases in point (in my estimation):

#139:

Originally Posted by Lhuna

I was afraid that Anguirel might have been an extremely bold Seer; thank the Mod God he isn't.

Remove the flowery adjectives from this and you have: "I was afraid that Anguirel might have been Seer" .... and now Ang is dead. This does not look good for Lhuna.


#140:

Originally Posted by Lalaith

If an innocent ord spots what he thinks is suspicious pairwork, is it a good idea to bring this up publicly? Might this not alert the wolves to the identity of the Seer pair?"

- asking questions to poll the village, although the second is rhetorical. Seeing that Lal is so intelligent compared to a certain trio of males, why ask? You should know. These questions seem like they help the werewolves more than the villagers.

#140:

Originally Posted by Lal

Also, I am bearing in mind that wolves can now PM each other during the day as well as the night. I think a discussion on how this could change wolf tactics might be useful, what do the rest of you think?

There she goes again, polling the village. Wolvish.

#147:

Originally Posted by Lal

I personally don't think any accusations about pairwork, however well-founded, should be made while both Seers remain alive.

Then why have brought it up yourself 7 posts prior?

#154:

Originally Posted by Lhuna

we wanted to save Garin

- we who? It doesn't make sense no matter which way you cut it, as tar said.

#172:

Originally Posted by Cailin

Lhuna has been under a bit of suspicion because of her 'noble' vote. I usually suspect wolves to vote early on Day 1 to avoid getting caught up in tallying scores and giving innocents the final blow. I'm not really sure how I feel about Lhuna, and she seems different somehow. However, she was recently a first Day lynchee, if we're going to bring up other legendary werewolf stories anyway, which might explain her being a bit more careful.

After all the werewolf games she's played, suddenly she's careful. I can think of only two reasons for it: she's either a werewolf or a seer.

#203:

Originally Posted by Formy

Personally, I'm hesitant to accuse anyone based on the time of their vote. Lhuna, for example, has been suspected of wolvery in every game she's played (albeit incorrectly each time), but because of the timezones, she's typically an early voter. In this game, because of advantageous timezones, she's naturally going to be voting near the end.

Let me remind you all of what I shall call the SaucySyndrome. If it looks like an egg and feels like an egg and smells like an egg and tastes like an egg, it's probably an egg.

#215:

Originally Posted by Cailin

Anyone else in favour of lynching another guy tonight? Rid the wolves of the male population and increase our chances of finding the Lover soon?

But what if you're a werewolf, Cailin? And what if your fellow werewolves are all female? Just a what-if. Did you not see the wisdom in going after the werewolves in order to get rid of the Lovers? Or are you trying to distract the villagers' attention from this most sensible villager strategy? And if so, why?

Cailin keeps defending Lhuna. Either she is guileless or desperately trying to keep her fellow werewolf from the gallows. Somehow guileless and Cailin don't seem to fit well in the same sentence.

#216:

Originally Posted by Formy

The interesting thought occured to me that the three main candidates up for lynching last night were male: Garin, Glirdan, & TGWBS. Is it possible, that in the flurry of tying/tie-breaking votes there at the end that one of our female players was trying to save- or did save- her lover?

- worth keeping in mind. Not sure what to do with it otherwise.

Eonwe is pulling a Gil-galad. Plain as that. A possible vote getter from me.

I agree with Eomer that Gurthang does not seem suspicious. I'm not too sure about his suspicions of Farael & Kath.

It looks to me as if three villagers have been sort of looking out for each other: Lhuna-Cai-Lal - defending each other, excusing each other, coming up with reasons why the other probably isn't a werewolf. I am suspicious of all three, mostly of Lhuna, secondly of Cai, and the least of Lal, but still all three. Possible vote getters from me, any of the three.

Addendum: Celuien makes a good point about Samwise polling the village.

So my suspect list, from which I will pick my vote, has five names: Lhuna, Cai, Lal, Eonwe, & Samwise.