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If the situation really is 50-50 (3 against 3), I would hold it a miracle, that it would just be us three innocents discussing here!
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I've actually wondered the same thing... it's the best scenario for the wolves, that we loudmouths run each other into the ground and vote each other off.
I've seen it before.
I'm a little confused by your statement here:
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Of the seven active writers, three are werewolves.
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What is preventing the other two people from being wolves...?
I'm still not wholly convinced of your innocence, but I'm not completely suspicious of you either, Nogrod. So rather than keeping on arguing this out, how about we (and Roa) try to cooperate for a while? We're not really getting anywhere this way. Perhaps we should try to look at the other players.
Mithalwen, I still think, is likely to be innocent. At any rate, I'm more suspicious of the others than her, and I don't see any reasoning right now to lynch her today.
That would leave us with Jenny, Eonwe, Gandalf, Valier, and Elu. I would hazard a guess that at least two of the wolves are in this group. Gandalf is obviously pretty unknown, but if he is a wolf, he is almost undoubtedly as unhelpful to the wolves as he has been to us. I don't think that voting for him is the best plan unless there is absolutely no reason to vote for the other four. Jenny is a hard case. After that first day, I really would have liked to see more of her to get a better opinion (I'm not blaming her, don't get me wrong). I could feasibly see voting for her, but I don't know that she'd be my first choice. Valier is pretty out there - frothy... I still don't have a good grasp on her. I think that Elu or Eonwe will probably be our best bet for the vote tonight. Roa's description of Elu does make some sense:
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He hasn't been helpful at all, he didn't vote Day 1, he attacked Valier quite viciously on Day 2, and provided little reason for his attack except frothiness. He never came up with anything new. And his vote for Jenny yesterday was more than questionable. Especially since after he voted for her, he said he wouldn't accuse her out right. I understand the time contraints, really I do, but after the attack of Valier, to change his mind so quickly, it does draw attention.
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And Eonwe I'm still suspicious of - very careful, perhaps too careful. He seems to be trying pretty hard not to attract attention.
Cross-posting with about five posts...