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Old 02-06-2006, 09:50 AM   #116
dancing spawn of ungoliant
Mischievous Candle
 
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As promised...

... here are some thoughts of Shelob and Cailín. My suspicion was initially based on a gut feeling, but let's see if I found something reasonable to say, too.


Cailín

On Day 1, Cailín made many posts, but few of them contained anything constructive to say. She said that we should listen to Sauce, but the next thing she said was that she found him suspicious. She mentioned Shelob to be suspicious, too, but didn't go further on that subject.
She listed all the villagers and in a joking manner analyzed them. She thought that morm looked guilty because of his vote for Valier, but said that Valier might be a wolf. Hmm, I doubt a wolf would make a three-way tie if his comrade was involved. She also defended malkatoj, but why did she do that when she coudn't know if malkatoj is innocent or not unless Cailín is a wolf and wants to buy the trust of an innocent?

Later Cailín showed mild uneasiness towards Shelob again, but right after it, she disregarded her own suspicions. She also defended Kath while expressing a little suspicion of her. Is this a classic example of obligatory suspicion towards a fellow wolf?

On a lighter note, "My tail was just accidentally split in half." ~Cailín.

We have a confession, folks, she has a tail.


Shelob

Shelob preferred random accusations to evidence, but since Sauce wanted reasoned posts, she decided to sit back and stay out of the conversation. Also, her vote for Garin seemed at least to me like a safe choice.

"It won't help today at all, but it beats a bandwagon or a tie." ~Shelob about her vote.

Besides, both options are generally considered as suspicious, right...?

Shelob also defended Kath and Glirdan.


If Shelob is a wolf, it would seem that Valier is innocent because of Day 1's voting

Also, both Shelob and Cailín seemed to know very well why Aiwendil was killed. I admit that most of us could have reached a same kind of a conclusion, but think about it, what would be more juicier a situation than openly tell all your fellow villagers what was the motive for last night's kill. Besides, a sound deduction could make them appear trustworthy, and by defending Formendacil, Wayne and Valier they could have tried to lead us astray (just like Shelob said the motive could have been), because at first it would be silly to think that the wolves didn't try to blame anyone after a kill but actually defend.

I guess that out of all the villagers, I'm the most suspicious of Cailín, Shelob and Kath now, and they seem to form a clear trio, but I don't think that all of them are wolves. Why, it may very well be that none of them is. However, I think that I'm going to vote one of them toDay if nothing surprising happens before it.
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