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Old 01-15-2006, 03:41 PM   #303
the guy who be short
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Thulcandra
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the guy who be short has just left Hobbiton.
Apparently I have a few more minutes left. The analysis of Nilp will however take too long, and thus far appears fruitless. And while I hardly trust Kuru, (ooh, we're a pair ) an analysis of Valier is a must. Plus, I have time for the 14 posts she's made. I will be going in reverse chronological order.

Her last post was a "safe" vote for Nilp, misguided but hardly remarkable.

Before this, she creates a list of people she believes to be innocent: Farael, Rune, Kuruharan, Gurthang
What's remarkable here is Kuruharan's comment above:
Quote:
Those not suspected at all would be the ones to be the most interested in because they would have the least to lose by killing her because they would be in the least danger
He falls into this category. Scheming mind at work, anybody?
As for the others - Rune and Farael appear on Nilp's list too, and so I will presume innocent, as I will Gurthang.

Valier also declares these villagers to be puzzling: Alcarillo, Amanaduial, Azaelia, Naria. The other villagers she mentions are as follows: Menel - creepy, Cailin - innocent, TGWBS - odd but sound, Lhuna - unsure, Nilp - will vote for, Malkatoj - bad feeling.

An overview of her last analytical post then:

Innocent: Farael, Rune, Kuru, Gurthang, Cailin
Neutral: Alcarillo, Aman, Azaelia, Naria, TGWBS, Lhuna
Bad feelings: Menel, Nilp, Malkatoj



That is all. The theory I'm fondest of at the moment is that she struck a nerve. She voted Garin and, if somehow here list were more or less accurate in several aspects, she could be suspected of being the Seer. Which means Malkatoj and Menel bear looking into.

Right now, I feel analyses of Malkatoj and Alcarillo would be good things.
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