The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum - View Single Post - Tol-in-Gaurhoth XIV: Nyárë Nauroron Númenoreva

Fordim Hedgethistle · 12-07-2005, 09:43 AM

My oh my oh my…but things are getting interesting. Much as I need to earn a living, I think those oysters will have to stay a-waiting a bit longer as the situation here seems dire and I wants to try and do something about it.

Seems to me that there’s a number of things to consider in voting today:

1) Who is more likely than others to be a wolf? This is a little less difficult than it was yesterday, but still not at t’all an easy task, I fear. The person we lynch this DAY is still more than likely to be an innocent than not. Which leads me to point number…

2) Which innocents could we more easily afford to lose? A horrific thought, and one that I’m not all that easy a-making out in the open, but as there’s some already who are thinking this way, I feel a bit more comfortable about it. Let’s face it: there are some hereabouts who are either wolves, or innocents who are not helping. If it comes right down to a vote between two people about whom I’m equally suspicious, but one is clearly not as helpful as another, I would vote for the less helpful one. I hopes as that doesn’t make me seem bloody-minded or callous – but I am, after all, a pearl diver and more used to dealing with the hard shells of oysters than the softer bellies of people!

3) Which people would make the most dangerous wolves? This is an idea that may not make much sense, but I’ll do my best. There are some hereabouts who already seem to have been given suits of armour that would seem to guarantee their innocence – more interesting it seems to me that these folk are the ones as have been spending the DAY giving those suits of armour to each other…. Just as we needs to think about which innocent we can afford to lose, we needs to think about which folk would make the most dangerous wolves to keep around. I’m’s not suggesting that we lynch a person simply because they look too innocent, or are making too much sense – just that if I were a smart and canny wolf, the first thing I would try to do is make sure I looked like a bright and canny innocent…

So where’s that get me? Not all that much further along, I admit it. But mayhap it can help me a slight bit. There’s no math here, no perfect solution, so don’t think that what I’m about to do is supposed to be that. But it’s a way of accounting for things after a manner. I’m a-going to go through each of the three points and give folk one point each just to see who might add up to the most….

1) Who is more likely than others to be a wolf?

Gurthang
Rune
Wayne
Lhuna

2) Which innocents could we more easily afford to lose?

Gurthang
Rune
Wayne

3) Which people would make the most dangerous wolves?

Aiwendil
Boromir88
Saucepan Man

Now afore ye all begin to ask me for my reasons, I’ll just say read my posts from before this one and you’ll see that I makes these points elsewhere…and a lot of other folk, I know, are making the same kinds of noises.

So by my counting the three as have two points each are:

Gurthang
Rune
Wayne

12-07-2005, 09:43 AM	#108
Fordim Hedgethistle Gibbering Gibbet Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: Beyond cloud nine Posts: 1,844	My oh my oh my…but things are getting interesting. Much as I need to earn a living, I think those oysters will have to stay a-waiting a bit longer as the situation here seems dire and I wants to try and do something about it. Seems to me that there’s a number of things to consider in voting today: 1) Who is more likely than others to be a wolf? This is a little less difficult than it was yesterday, but still not at t’all an easy task, I fear. The person we lynch this DAY is still more than likely to be an innocent than not. Which leads me to point number… 2) Which innocents could we more easily afford to lose? A horrific thought, and one that I’m not all that easy a-making out in the open, but as there’s some already who are thinking this way, I feel a bit more comfortable about it. Let’s face it: there are some hereabouts who are either wolves, or innocents who are not helping. If it comes right down to a vote between two people about whom I’m equally suspicious, but one is clearly not as helpful as another, I would vote for the less helpful one. I hopes as that doesn’t make me seem bloody-minded or callous – but I am, after all, a pearl diver and more used to dealing with the hard shells of oysters than the softer bellies of people! 3) Which people would make the most dangerous wolves? This is an idea that may not make much sense, but I’ll do my best. There are some hereabouts who already seem to have been given suits of armour that would seem to guarantee their innocence – more interesting it seems to me that these folk are the ones as have been spending the DAY giving those suits of armour to each other…. Just as we needs to think about which innocent we can afford to lose, we needs to think about which folk would make the most dangerous wolves to keep around. I’m’s not suggesting that we lynch a person simply because they look too innocent, or are making too much sense – just that if I were a smart and canny wolf, the first thing I would try to do is make sure I looked like a bright and canny innocent… So where’s that get me? Not all that much further along, I admit it. But mayhap it can help me a slight bit. There’s no math here, no perfect solution, so don’t think that what I’m about to do is supposed to be that. But it’s a way of accounting for things after a manner. I’m a-going to go through each of the three points and give folk one point each just to see who might add up to the most…. 1) Who is more likely than others to be a wolf? Gurthang Rune Wayne Lhuna 2) Which innocents could we more easily afford to lose? Gurthang Rune Wayne 3) Which people would make the most dangerous wolves? Aiwendil Boromir88 Saucepan Man Now afore ye all begin to ask me for my reasons, I’ll just say read my posts from before this one and you’ll see that I makes these points elsewhere…and a lot of other folk, I know, are making the same kinds of noises. So by my counting the three as have two points each are: Gurthang Rune Wayne __________________ Scribbling scrabbling.