Well who’d have thunk that, eh? We got ourselves a wolf despite all the odds agin it. Wish I could claim some kind of special credit for having voted against her, but it was luck pure and simple…well…that and the good sense to listen to that there
Aiwendil bloke.
So here’s the four who voted for that hairy fiend
Spawn:
Formendacil & Me (we voted simultaneously by cross-posting so we’re tied for first)
Boromir88 & Aiwendil (who also voted simultaneously by cross-posting so they’re tied for second)
Much as I would like to claim that these people are all in the clear, I can’t (except for myself, cause I know I’m not a wolf).
Formendacil may have voted for a fellow wolf simply to avoid the appearance that they are working together. A daring move, but not so daring on the first day with votes going all over the place – the odds that his vote would lead to a hanging were slim.
Boromir88 and Aiwendil fall under similar logic. Once I had voted for
Spawn, giving her two votes, maybe one of them (or both of them) followed wolfish logic of sacrificing her to get themselves in the clear for good…. And given that
Spawn’s vote was for
Aiwendil it might have been an elaborate attempt to really put him above all suspicion at the game’s very beginning…
Now that having been said, I think it more than likely that all three of these fellow villagers is innocent, but I can’t be completely sure yet.
And a big thank you to the
Man of the Sauce Pan for having guaranteed my survival this night by voting for me. With someone of your considerable capacity and tenacity gunning for me the wolves are going to be sure to leave me alive so that you can continue to try and convince the villagers to lynch an innocent pearl diver…which, now that I think of it, is a wonderful strategy for a wolf…hmmmm…let me see…
1) I suggested a way of detecting wolves –
Saucepan Man claims that my strategy is not useful and casts suspicion on me…
2) I vote for the wolf
Spawn and
Saucepan Man votes for me, at a time when – as he admits – there is no way I will be lynched, thus preserving my life (when
Spawn’s fate is already sealed, in part by me, see above) and keeping me around to call suspicion on my head. Now, in his latest post he's retraced his steps a bit and claims that
now he thinks I'm innocent...genuine...or part of a brilliant ploy -- "only an innocent would apologise for making that mistake; I am the model of sincerity. Trust me, trust me!"
I have two eyes in my head and they are firmly fixed upon you my good Harbour Master.
Oh but he’s not alone:
Gurthang is still very suspicious to me and not so much for his early voting as for the fact that
Spawn defended him. There's been some talk of him being the cobbler, which does make a certain amount of sense to me: he's certainly been complicating things and saying much while contributing little of real clarity. If I had to vote right now, I can thinks of where my vote might go....but there's still a day to go....
And that
Lhuna is mighty tricksy it seems. Says this about
mormegil:
Quote:
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Seer comments on Aiwendil's suggestion came off a bit scary to me, I don't know why.
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And this about
Spawn:
Quote:
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does not suspect Gurthang's early voting. Has doubts on Aiwendil's Seer suggestion.
|
Now why, I ask, are
morm’s doubts about
Aiwendil’s suggestion “scary” to her, but
Spawn’s “doubts” pass without real comment? Then she goes and votes for an extremely ‘easy’ target, the early-but-infrequent poster
Wayne.
I wants to be clear -- I've been casting quite a bit of suspicion about here but I'm making no accusations, as yet. This is all in the first flush of my horror for the loss of our Seer and an immediate reaction to what happened yesterday. Those as I've looked at here may very well say things this day that remove them from my sights -- while others as are currently looking innocent may make me nervous.
I still says that the trick here is to identify groups -- folk as seem to act alike. So far, I think we can lump together
Rune
Wayne
Gurthang
as the suspicious looking ones, saying or not doing things that makes them stand out -- stupid wolves? clumsy innocents?
Boromir88
Aiwendil
Saucepan Man
as the 'known' (too-good-to-be-true?) innocents..or ar they brilliant wolves?
Wilwarin
Formendacil
mormegil
Holbytlass
Kath
Lhuna
as the hapless innocents -- don't seem to be proceeding with any particular agenda of any sort, seem to be guessing and almost niaf (for example, mistakenly voting for people...)
Like I said, the best strategy for the wolves is to hide by acting different from one another, so I would suggest that we search for one wolf in each group.
Oh yes, as for meself -- well, I know I'm not a wolf so I would probably fit into group one or two, depending on your view of me.