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Old 11-13-2005, 01:28 AM   #304
tar-ancalime
Shade of Carn Dûm
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: abaft the beam
Posts: 303
tar-ancalime has just left Hobbiton.
Quote:
Actually, she says that she's pretty much suspicous of all of us, leaving the whole post rather moot. But I think her charges against Glirdan look rather trumped up.
Well, it only stands to reason, doesn't it? I have four suspects and two wolves. Absent any kind of certainty (which I definitely don't have at this point), the first logical thing to do is to make out the best case against each person. It's what you're doing, what everyone is doing, and after we've done it we compare notes and then lynch someone like the bloodthirsty mob we are.

Thanks for your posts, by the way, lmp--you have certainly spent a lot more time toDAY on analysis than I have, and I'm the first to admit that all four of my cases are trumped-up to some degree. It takes time and effort to create the valuable products you villagers are so actively spurning; I've spent the better part of the day in a delicate operation by which I hope to combine the Powder of Sympathy with a juicy raw steak, in the hope of catching a wolf mid-snack.

However, some more thoughts occur to me now, having read through your and others' posts:

It still seems that the most is to be gained from looking at Glirdan, Lalaith, and lmp. In a remarkable reverse from yesterDAY's call for a double lynch, lmp now seem to be convinced of Glirdan's innocence.

Glirdan returns his trust to some degree, and the two of them have agreed that Lalaith is the most likely lycan among us. Glirdan has already voted for her, and not for the first time.

Glirdan suspects Lalaith and lmp; he reluctantly accepts lmp's contention that Lalaith is the most suspicious, but says that if she turns out innocent then lmp is at the top of his list.

lmp notes that Glirdan has suspected Lalaith too consistently for it to be a wolf double-cross; on consideration I tend to agree with that and even as I was writing my post it occurred to me that the Glirdan-Lalaith wolf duo was perhaps the weakest link in my logic; but it was the best I had and like I said, we've all got to be as open as we can about our suspicions, if for no other reason than to let others point out our errors.

As for Lalaith's actual posts, she is difficult to get a handle on. I think it's because she tends to post general strategic advice instead of specific discussion or analysis--a lot of posts in which she admits to "thinking like a wolf," for example. And anytime anyone does that, it can obviously be understood in two ways, perhaps depending on the reader's existing impression of the writer.

So:

In a reversal, lmp suspects Lalaith but not Glirdan.

Glirdan suspects lmp and Lalaith but agrees that Lalaith is the bigger threat.

And it's so hard to know just what Lalaith thinks....but I still think that these three characters are going to get my focus for the rest of the DAY. I am no longer so sure that I will vote for Glirdan, but you can bet my vote will go to one of these three.
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Having fun wolfing it to the bitter end, I see, gaur-ancalime (lmp, ww13)
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