View Single Post
Old 11-08-2005, 07:42 PM   #143
Celuien
Riveting Ribbiter
 
Celuien's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Assigned to Mordor
Posts: 1,767
Celuien has just left Hobbiton.
Cross-posted with a whole bunch of people...

Synopsis of the remaining villagers, in no particular order:

1. WaynetheGoblin - quite annoying. He has said almost nothing, other than a general "I'm here and I suspect so-and-so." Yesterday, suspected and voted Bergil because of his random vote. Has not returned with his promised suspect list yet. I'm at a loss to determine whether or not he is a wolf. But even if innocent, I'd place him higher on my short list of lynching candidates because of the frustratingly small amount he says.
2. Glirdan - as Firefoot said, all over the place (sorry!). I'm not sure that this makes him a wolf, but it does attract my attention. He returns to my watch list for today.
3. Eonwe - difficult for me to peg (pun intended). Suspects Ang for being vocal. Watching him more because I'm unsure what to think than from any real suspicion.
4. Meneltarmacil - waiting for more input today. Yesterday, he offered good input to lmp's plan, so I'm not particularly inclined to suspect him yet. I'm interesting to hear more about his suspicions of Glirdan.
5. tar-ancalime - so far today, has offered good input. I suspected her yesterday merely on that infallible quality of intuition. Right now, she doesn't look suspicious.
6. Wilwarin538 - I happen to agree with her on several points (see below). Another villager offering decent arguments, so I don't want to attack her now.
7. Kitanna - I do not currently suspect her since she has offered reasonable, helpful analysis. I personally agree with her interpretation of Kuru's death after looking at his posts from yesterday.
8. littlemanpoet - very, very odd. Lead-bottomed hints from yesterday suggesting Seer status could be either 1) a bold Seer coming into the open 2) an innocent attempting to mask the Seer, 3) a wolf masquerading as the Seer, or 4) misinterpretation of figures of speech by villagers which he chose to let go. Option 3 seems a bit too risky for a real wolf since it would bring the Seer's eye directly on him. I doubt lmp-wolf would use that tactic. I'd rather not push the issue too much in case he is the Seer. I will be watching him closely, however.
9. Lalaith - suspicious. Offers the theory that Kuru was the Seer early on, although there really wasn't too much there to suggest that, other than his being non-committal. I really don't think that's enough reason to declare a Seer, since a few of us were also vague yesterday. But it could be a distraction - or the wolves' genuine opinion. At the same time, she was the tiebreaker yesterday, although that doesn't mean quite as much with rules preventing multiple lynchings. Very odd back and forth with lmp this morning that I would like to see explained.
10. Firefoot - probable innocent. Sound analysis of events, seems genuinely heplful.
11. Kath - also a probable innocent, as far as I can tell. Same reasons as Firefoot.
12. Anguirel - suspects lmp greatly. I personally don't find him suspicious now. LMP has been behaving strangely, and I'm inclined to think his attack on lmp is motivated by genuine suspicion rather than a frame up. The vehemence of his attacks is classic Ang, so I don't really want to take it as a sign of guilt. But I will, unfortunately, need take a closer look at him today as a result of all this bickering.

As for lmp's plan for today, it seems to be a reasonable enough way to keep wolves from manipulating the votes. Unless, of course, they wind up strongly influencing the straw vote and manage to use to to keep the focus off of them. The failsafe of using a majority to change the selections seems okay, but could still be easily manipulated. I would prefer to follow the departed Kuru's advice and remain flexible.
__________________
People assume that time is a strict progression of cause to effect. But actually, from a non-linear, non-subjective viewpoint, it's more like a big ball of wibbly-wobbly, timey-wimey... stuff.
Celuien is offline   Reply With Quote