The Barrow-Downs Discussion Forum - View Single Post - WWJ I: A New Saga, A New Beginning... Or Is IT!?!?!?

The Only Real Estel · 10-06-2005, 09:38 AM

Vote Analysis:
----------------
Here's what I think of all the votes that have been cast so far:

-------------DAY ONE-------------
*NOTE: TWO VOTES WERE CAST AFTER THE DEADLINE AND CON-SEQUENTLY DELETED*

Bergil- Fea- Rather suspicious as she really hadn't done anything other than be herself

Eonwe- Thin- A little suspicious because it looks like she's being non-comittal be voting for someone random, but Thin hadn't appeared all day

Fea- Fea- Very Fea-like

Folwren- None- Doesn't vote at all. If Gurthang is right & Jack is a wolf this would be a good strategy for a wolf. Don't vote on the first day so you have no trail but give everyone plenty of warning so it's just generally accept the next DAY.

Kitanna- None- I believe she cast a vote late...

Gurthang- Kitanna- Not much logic behind this, basically he was afraid she was a wolf trying to tie herself to him by defending him but he voted late enough that he wouldn't leave a trail (she wasn't going to get enough votes to get lynched)

Hiriel- Wayne- Not to suspicious

Malkatoj- Wayne- Somewhat suspicious reasoning

Rune- None- Time mistake

Sleepy R- None- ?

Thinlomien- None- Not around to vote, somewhat suspicious

TORE- Eonwe- A mostly random vote, not wanting to be responsible for breaking the tie but not feeling Wayne was suspicious enough for my vote

Wayne- Gurthang- Early vote on the basis that Guthang hadn't showed
-------------------------------------------
----------DAY TWO---------------

Bergil- SR- A vote to save his own wolfish skin

Eonwe- Bergil- Voted when she could've saved her counterpart, therefore unlikely to be wolven

Fea- SR- Voted early with who she thought was most suspicious

Folwren- Bergil- Last to vote, did vote when it was nearly impossible to save Bergil, so Gurthang may have a point

Gurthang- SR- Said he found SR the most guilty looking of the two...could've been voting this way to save his brother-in-murder's fur

Hiriel- Bergil- Voted for Bergil rather early on, likely to be innocent because she drew more attention to him

Malkatoj- SR- Voting to save Bergil

Rune- Bergil- Good vote as it got our lynching episode back on track, definitly unlikely to be a wolf as I believe SR had one more vote than Bergil when he voted

Sleepy R- Bergil- Voting to save himself of course, which is understandable

Thinlomien- None- A bit suspicious to not vote two days in a row, but it's unlikely a wolf would allow such a thing to happen

TORE- Bergil- Found him more suspicious for more concrete reasons that I found SR
---------------------------------------
---------DAY THREE-------

Eonwe-

Fea-

Folwren-

Gurthang-

Hiriel-

Malkatoj-

Rune-

Sleepy R-

Thinlomien- Gurthang

TORE-
--------------------------------------

So the most suspicious voters so far would probably be Jack and then Gurthang. For what it's worth.

I would really like to see your case, Gurthang, as I am looking into your accusation. Intreaguing to say the least...

10-06-2005, 09:38 AM	#176
The Only Real Estel Raffish Rapscallion Join Date: Apr 2003 Location: Far from the 'Downs, it seems :-( Posts: 2,835	vote analysis Vote Analysis: ---------------- Here's what I think of all the votes that have been cast so far: -------------DAY ONE------------- NOTE: TWO VOTES WERE CAST AFTER THE DEADLINE AND CON-SEQUENTLY DELETED Bergil- Fea- Rather suspicious as she really hadn't done anything other than be herself Eonwe- Thin- A little suspicious because it looks like she's being non-comittal be voting for someone random, but Thin hadn't appeared all day Fea- Fea- Very Fea-like Folwren- None- Doesn't vote at all. If Gurthang is right & Jack is a wolf this would be a good strategy for a wolf. Don't vote on the first day so you have no trail but give everyone plenty of warning so it's just generally accept the next DAY. Kitanna- None- I believe she cast a vote late... Gurthang- Kitanna- Not much logic behind this, basically he was afraid she was a wolf trying to tie herself to him by defending him but he voted late enough that he wouldn't leave a trail (she wasn't going to get enough votes to get lynched) Hiriel- Wayne- Not to suspicious Malkatoj- Wayne- Somewhat suspicious reasoning Rune- None- Time mistake Sleepy R- None- ? Thinlomien- None- Not around to vote, somewhat suspicious TORE- Eonwe- A mostly random vote, not wanting to be responsible for breaking the tie but not feeling Wayne was suspicious enough for my vote Wayne- Gurthang- Early vote on the basis that Guthang hadn't showed ------------------------------------------- ----------DAY TWO--------------- Bergil- SR- A vote to save his own wolfish skin Eonwe- Bergil- Voted when she could've saved her counterpart, therefore unlikely to be wolven Fea- SR- Voted early with who she thought was most suspicious Folwren- Bergil- Last to vote, did vote when it was nearly impossible to save Bergil, so Gurthang may have a point Gurthang- SR- Said he found SR the most guilty looking of the two...could've been voting this way to save his brother-in-murder's fur Hiriel- Bergil- Voted for Bergil rather early on, likely to be innocent because she drew more attention to him Malkatoj- SR- Voting to save Bergil Rune- Bergil- Good vote as it got our lynching episode back on track, definitly unlikely to be a wolf as I believe SR had one more vote than Bergil when he voted Sleepy R- Bergil- Voting to save himself of course, which is understandable Thinlomien- None- A bit suspicious to not vote two days in a row, but it's unlikely a wolf would allow such a thing to happen TORE- Bergil- Found him more suspicious for more concrete reasons that I found SR --------------------------------------- ---------DAY THREE------- Eonwe- Fea- Folwren- Gurthang- Hiriel- Malkatoj- Rune- Sleepy R- Thinlomien- Gurthang TORE- -------------------------------------- So the most suspicious voters so far would probably be Jack and then Gurthang. For what it's worth. I would really like to see your case, Gurthang, as I am looking into your accusation. Intreaguing to say the least...