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Originally Posted by The Saucepan Man
The more I think about this, the more I think that this suggestion of looking for the "ex-Cursed" is a very bad idea. It diverts us away from looking for the original three Wolves and presents the Wolves with a perfect opportunity to lead us into lynching yet another innocent. And even if we were to find the fourth Wolf, it would tell us little if anything about the identity of the original three Wolves, because that person will have been thinking and voting like an innocent up 'til now. If, on the other hand, we catch one of the original three, there is likely to be some kind of a trail that we can follow to the other two.
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On the flip side of the coin, however, if we find the Cursed One by deducing who would likely have been taken yesterday, we would learn WHY they were taken, and thus WHO was likely to have taken them.
After all, we can learn the pattern of the murderers by the crimes they commit. The attacking of the Cursed One is merely the third murder, botched.