I say it's about time we caught a wolf.
I certainly don't know where one is, but I have some ideas that may help everyone sort out their ideas.
First- werewolf voting strategy.
It is always good to have at least one wolf vote for another wolf at some point.
Every team of wolves (that I can remember seeing) employs this strategy. It's a useful one. You can only use words to distance yourself so much- votes count for more, so it is always a good idea for a wolf to vote for another wolf at some point. It gives the appearance of innocence after the wolf is found. And the thing is, you can't pick the wolf out and say "He voted for her to distance himself!" because if a wolf gets lynched then that means several villagers also voted for the wolf, so you can't tell the wolf apart.
So, as I said in one of my posts a couple days ago, there are certain times when it is smarter to vote for another wolf.
Let's look at Day 2-
Everyone who voted for
Gil,
Wayne, and
Celuien was not a wolf voting for a wolf because those suspects were proven innocent.
The only person who received a vote who was not killed was
Kuru. However, the vote cast for him by
Eonwe was not cast at a very good time- it was right at the beginning. That doesn't seem like a safe time for a wolf to be tossing a vote onto another wolf.
So, let's move on to Day 3-
Anguirel,
Kitanna,
Eonwe, and
Kuru all received votes and have not yet been found to be innocent. So- let's take a look.
Ang's vote was from an innocent, not a wolf, so that leaves that vote out.
Eonwe, as he did the day before, voted for
Kuru. He also did it at a time when there was no chance of
Kuru getting lynched because there was only one person left who could vote (technically two, but
Spawn was not likely).
Now, this would be a great time for a wolf-wolf vote, BUT-
Eonwe also voted for
Kuru the day before at a time that wasn't very smart for a wolf-wolf vote, so though I could be wrong,
Eonwe-
Kuru probably isn't a wolf-wolf vote (and if it was, congratulations for fooling me).
Now, what about the
Marc vote for
Kitanna? It was cast at the end when there was no chance of
Kitanna getting lynched. In addition,
Kuru had been declaring a
Marc-
Kitanna wolf duo, so perhaps he was right and
Marc's vote was an attempt to say "No, you're wrong- see, I even voted for her!"
So, the
Marc-
Kitanna vote is a possible wolf-wolf. We might get a chance today to see if
Marc is still willing to vote for
Kitanna when she is in actual peril.
Then, there's the
Ang vote for
Eonwe. It was a pretty safe bet that
Gil was going to be lynched yesterday, so an early vote was not really as risky as usual.
However,
Anguirel has succeeded on getting on my good side with flattery during this game so his vote somehow doesn't look as suspicious to me.
But I suppose that the
Ang-
Eonwe vote might've been a wolf-wolf vote.
Now, what about
Kitanna's vote for
Kuru and
Kuru's vote for
Kitanna?
As I said already,
Gil's lynching was a good bet so it was safer than usual to cast an early vote, and to actually have two wolves vote for each other is the ultimate way of seperating.
We will see if the two suddenly back off of each other as the day moves along.
Now, about
Gil's lynching- it was inevitable and my head is clearer for it, so it wasn't the worst thing that could've happened. Can we learn anything from it? Perhaps.
Since his lynching was so likely, the wolves had a golden opportunity to vote for someone other than
Gil, and thus "throw away" their vote (am I using the term right, Kuru?
). Do you think they did? If so, how many of them? It's not as if the village needed help to lynch
Gil. He was on the chopping block from the beginning.
Then again, there is always the bluff option of doing the exact opposite of what is expected, so who really knows?
I can't believe how silent it is today. Is anyone there? It's not very helpful to sit back until the end and suddenly cast votes without having accusations or defenses first.
Let's get some theories and such going, people.