As of now we have only not heard from Wayne and Durelin, unfortunately they are two of the people I feel somewhat suspicious of and so I would prefer to leave any further analysis until I've seen some posts from then. However, what with Wayne's record of appearing simply to list his suspicions (with no reasons) and vote there is little point in waiting for him. In fact this may point to his wolvishness in a purely technical way, if he is online only close to Night rather than through the Day.
Now, I want to lynch a wolf today, but I cannot see how we can be sure of doing that. We all suspect different people and for different reasons, and of course everyone claims to be innocent. My only idea would be for everyone to put who they think is the most suspicious in order, and then for everyone to vote for the person who is most suspected by the most people (if that made any sense). That way, even if the person we lynch is innocent (I sincerely hope not or we are in serious trouble) we can see something from these lists. The problem there would be that the wolves could simply copy the list from an innocent and agree to sacrifice one of their own if need be to hide themselves.
I don't really feel that little plan will work but I thought I'd put it out there just to see how people would react to it.
As of now my main suspect is still Menel, but he is very closely followed by Folwren, and if there are enough people that want to vote for Folwren and few that want to vote for Menel, I will (reluctantly) change my vote so that we can ensure the death of someone we truly feel to be guilty.
As I see it now, people's plans for lynching go as follows:
Folwren - Wayne or Holby
Shelob - Folwren or Cailin
Holbytlass - Folwren
Meneltarmacil - Kath or Shelob
Kath - Menel or Folwren
Cailín - Menel or Shelob
I don't know about wilwarin538, Durelin or WaynetheGoblin yet as they have given no indication of who they will vote for. But that list suggests there there would be more chance of a group vote for Folwren than for Menel, so if the votes do pan out that way you can rely on mine to be for Folwren. I realise that this sounds like bandwaggoning and abandoning my principles but we have to get a wolf toDay or there is practically no chance of us winning.
So far it seems that the wolves have attacked those who were loud, possibly not because they were close in their suspect lists, but because they were listened to by the village. the phantom, SpM, TGWBS and Nilp are all loud people and were all killed by the wolves, and that seems like more than a coincidence to me. If the wolves continue in the vein I would expect either myself, Cailin or Holby to be killed by them tonight. I am possibly least likely to die as quite a few people are suspicious of me but if either Cailin or Holby doesn't die I could become suspicious of them where at the moment I am not.
Anyway, right now my suspect list goes:
Menel
Folwren
WaynetheGoblin
Durelin - with position subject to change depending on her post
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.”
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