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...who are they? Can they be trusted? Do they know?
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They are of course the Valar.
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But the Lords of Valinor forbade them to sail so far westward that the coasts of Númenor could no longer be seen; and for long the Dúnedain were content, though they did not fully understand the purpose of this ban. But the design of Manwë was that the Númenóreans should not be tempted to seek for the Blessed Realm, nor desire to overpass the limits set to their bliss, becoming enamoured of the immortality of the Valar and the Eldar and the lands where all things endure.
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I guess they know what they're talking about.
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Perhaps, as you suggest, it would be different in Aman. But why?
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This would inevitably happen:
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. Then he would become filled with envy, deeming himself a victim of injustice, denied the graces given to all other things. He would not value what he had, but feeling that he was among the least and most despised of all creatures, he would grow soon to contemn his manhood, and hate those more richly endowed. He would not escape the fear and sorrow of his swift mortality that is his lot upon Earth, in Arda Marred, but would be burdened by it unbearably to the loss of all delight.
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As to why, I would say perhaps, human nature.