At least this time is appears that I will get a chance to vote quite late (unless a major disaster occurs at the shop), so I will probably hold off until then ... unless some werewolf mistakenly rears its ugly head by some mis-speech.
Being a newcomer to such turmoil as we have in this (formerly) fine village, I'm having a hard time knowing which end's up, so thanks,
Firefoot, for the wonderful list. I hope that helps clarify things for me. I am understandably distressed to be voted for! And why? Mere suspicion? What did I do? What did I say? Ah, yes. I picked on Eomer as someone who made a Freudian slip, and I wouldn't let go. Now, did I not let go as some kind of werewolfish ploy? No. You see, I do put quite a bit of credence in the mistaken word, the 'oopses' in posting. Maybe that's too intuitional of me, but hey, that's me. Or did I not let go because it was at that time the only evidence I could see anywhere, however slim? The latter.
Eomer's post defending himself made me think that I had been wrong. I became convinced that Eomer was nothing more than a bad liar, trying to point at Lalaith to try and flush out a werewolf or three. At least, that was what I thought until I read the rather enlightening thoughts of a few others of you in regards to Eomer. I am frankly impressed with
the phantom's erudition. He seems to know how these things go, and thus must be well read, and has an excellent grasp for strategy. I'd say that's gonna help, and I'm really worried that the werewolves are going to off him.
The problem I'm having is that the suspicions and vote that have already come out could be werewolves trying to influence the rest of us. That drives me nuts. For that reason, those suspicions and votes must be studied carefully or else we make yet another disastrous mistake.
Lalaith (voted for Kath) is astute, has a large vocabulary (which means what, LMP?), and has gotten into the game of double think. This merely means that she has a lot of noodles upstairs. She has bemoaned her own vote, but that's just good form. She has wondered about the phantom's brashness, as in why would one be so brash, unless one were a werewolf, but then did some double think and left that in a muddle.
Eomer (voted for Kath) accused Lalaith as a ploy, then voted for Kath to save his own skin. Smart. I still question if a werewolf could hold himself back from letting four or five villagers all get lynched at once? That's my main reason for thinking Eomer might be innocent. But why is he getting all suspicious about the phantom, whom I find it hard to suspect?
the phantom (voted for Esga) is looking more like an innocent all the time, despite Eomer's assertions to the contrary. While true that his morality seems to veer towards the more pragmatic, it could be argued that that is precisely what we need. So I tend to think that he is probably an innocent working to his strengths to help the rest of us "eliminate the distractors", as they say in those anachronistic detective novels (which don't exist yet but that's too bad).
Celuien (voted for Oddwen) seems (so far) pretty straight up analytical. Hard to know what to think of that. I don't think her suspicion of Oddwen is any more sure than she seems to have thought.
Feanor's (voted for Eomer) vote for me has really got me wondering. I know I'm innocent, and that obviously makes me suspect her. At first she sounded so concerned for the good of the village, and maybe her vote for me is just a (WRONG) shot in the dark, but maybe it's part of some twisted, evil plan. Wish I could be sure.
Firefoot (voted for Saurreg) does try to be helpful. Which doesn't really say much either way.
Did not vote:
Anguirel - (RL activities kept him away all day) Well, our mod explained this one, so he remains a mystery.
dancing spawn - (was confused about voting deadline) asks for reason and less fighting and liked the phantom's plan. Or at least says she did.
Esga (RL activities kept her away all day) had the same situation as Anguirel, so she also remains a mystery.
Evisse - (confused about voting deadline) seems innocent to me.
Hookbill - (missed voting due to power cut) isn't saying much one way or the other. A mystery.
littlemanpoet ( missed voting) is not a werewolf. Plain and simple. Being new to this kind of thing, I'm liable to make some stupid mistakes in reasoning from time to time, but am quite educable. And confusable.
Nilpaurion is a mystery.
Oddwen's question about using the phantom's plan later in the game seemed rather harmless to me.
Saurreg - (left in the middle of voting without voting) does seem to lend himself to suspicion. But who's to say?
Two thoughts about the werewolves.
First. It has been suggested that they're stupid. What werewolves would seem stupid? One option would be those who haven't been involved in this kind of thing before, which I realize lumps me in with them, but that's one thing I can think of, and I know I'm not a werewolf. Or they have someone who is a master strategist leading the way. Um, who amongst us fills the bill? Whereas it's true that the phantom fits that bill, I still find it hard to imagine that he is playing the double game. Eomer seems pretty talented that way too. So do Celuien and Lalaith.
Second. Just a suggestion. Wouldn't the Seer be more effective if still alive toward the end of the game when the chances of dreaming of a werewolf are a better odds? Wouldn't it be therefore better if the Seer remained silent early? Granted, such a strategy runs the risk of the Seer being killed accidentally either by village lynchers along the way, or the werewolves, but might it not help us in the long run if the Seer kept quiet about his/her dreams until late in the game? Maybe I'm all wet, but I maybe this might help us win in the end.
I'm bushed. Dragging. That was a lot of work. So who are my primary suspects? Um, one more read over what I've written a sec.....: I guess my top suspects are
Eomer, Saurreg, and
dancing spawn. Sorry if I'm wrong.
EDIT: I just read Nilpaurion's latest gem of a post. What are we to make of that? Why would anybody say "I'm a werewolf, lynch me"? To cause greater confusion? Nil, you've succeeded.
My first thought is Nil's just playing with all of us, and could not possibly be a werewolf, because a real werewolf wouldn't try to get himself offed. On the other hand, why would an innocent claim to be a werewolf and risk a lynching? Is it because this person agrees with the phantom and is virtually volunteering? Possibly. Or is this the cursed villager who really would rather be a werewolf? The last thing we want to do is add to the werewolf population. At any rate, my analysis is that Nil is not a werewolf but may want to become one(?).