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Old 06-09-2005, 12:03 PM   #9
The Saucepan Man
Corpus Cacophonous
 
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: A green and pleasant land
Posts: 8,390
The Saucepan Man has been trapped in the Barrow!
Thank you for those lists, mormegil.

However, by themselves, they do not tell us much (and that's not just because I appear on all three ). We need also to look at what time people voted and, most importantly, what the state of voting was when they voted. And that applies to all votes, not just those cast for known innocents. It will be instructive, for example, if someone who appears on two of your lists voted for someone else on the remaining day, but at a stage when it was pretty clear anyway that the eventual lynch victim would be lynched anyway.

What we need to do is consider, when we are looking at a vote or an accusation or a defence of another Villager is whether, given what we know now, that was something that a Werewolf would have done.

I also think that we need to bear in mind that, on Night 3, Firefoot guarded someone whom she thought might be innocent and that, having done so, she had a reasonable idea (although not a certainty) throughout Day 3 that this person was innocent.

I am sorry if what I am saying appears to be obvious, but I really think that the six remaining Villagers all need to be thinking very much along the same lines today.

I set out my theory at the beginning of today and indicated that I was pretty sure about the identity of two of the Werewolves. They remain my prime suspects (and you probably have a pretty good idea who they are from what I said). But I am willing to consider other theories and be persuaded and to review my ideas in light of my own further investigations. I hope that everyone else is prepared to do the same. It was a mistake yesterday that we did not do this. We really need to bag a Wolf today if we can, and I think that we can. So, if I see any evidence of closed-mindedness during the first half of today, I shall get very suspicious. And I hope that means that the Werewolves will have to work that little bit harder in trying to disguise themelves.

And Kuru, if you are innocent, I would implore you to keep an open mind and look back through the evidence keeping in mind what we know now. You may still decide to vote for me at the end of the day. But I would prefer that you did so having at least explored other possibilities.
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