[The Saucepan Man]

Goodness me! What a lot of energy is being directed by a certain two villagers in trying to persuade the village to lynch me. The phantom’s efforts are understandable, given that it is pretty clearly either him or me today. Although I have misgivings about any innocent villager who is prepared to spend quite so much time trying to save their own skin. Kuruharan, I suppose, is sticking to the opinion which he formed at the beginning of the day. But he does seem very unwilling to listen to anyone else’s opinion, while making a lot of noise himself.

The closed minds that these two are displaying makes me very uneasy. Then again, if I am lynched, you will see that I am innocent. That makes it very risky for a Werewolf to direct quite so much energy towards attacking me. I am now almost certain that one of them is innocent but misguided and the other is a Werewolf setting himself up as a DAY 4 sacrifice. It is highly doubtful that two Werewolves would do that. Only problem is, I have little idea which one of them is the innocent one and which is the guilty one.

To the extent that Kuru’s long post against me relies on my having been instrumental in the lynching of two innocents, I cannot deny it. I have acknowledged that fact myself on a number of occasions. Other than that, it is purely quotes taken out of context (as mormegil notes) and conjecture.

There are, however, a few points which I must address.

Kuru, when I said that you “flew under the radar” on DAY 1, I meant that you said practically nothing controversial until the discussion began to identify a single candidate for lynching (Evisse – by Shelob’s vote and my conjecture). You then concentrated your efforts on that candidate. That was the impression that I gained, in any event.

I never stopped suspecting you on DAY 2 although, as I said, I did begin to doubt my own thought processes after the outcome of DAY 1. I have given my reasons for accusing SoN. However, if I did not make it sufficiently clear, one of them was that you (one of my suspects) had seemed to draw my attention away from him on DAY 1. Since he proved innocent, that is clearly no longer a valid reason for suspecting you.

You point out that it is a valid strategy for a Werewolf to sacrifice him- or herself in order to get an innocent lynched. I agree. Indeed, it seems to be what either you or the phantom are doing today. But it is not a role that I would wish to take on, were I a Werewolf. Not at the outset anyway. Then again, you only have my word for that.

You seem to think that my previous two posts were nudging the village towards voting for the phantom. Well, given the current state of affairs, any attempt to defend myself is impliedly a nudge in the phantom’s direction since it is ether him or me today. Believe me, if I was more certain of his guilt, I would be more than happy to lay out my evidence for all to see and attempt to guarantee that he gets lynched. But I have no such certainty. All I really have to go on is the incredible energy that he has put into defending himself today. But I am by no means certain that this marks him out as a Werewolf.

If that means that I get lynched while he goes free, then I will at least content myself that the village will learn something from my death. Of course, the same goes for the phantom, if he is innocent. On that basis, and given that no one else seems to be anywhere near the frame today, I will probably end up having to vote for the phantom today. But I am by no means certain of his guilt.

The only thing that I can say with any degree of certainty based on today’s events is that it seems fairly likely to me that either the phantom or Kuruharan is a Werewolf.

Finally, I am not at all sure what to make of these comments by Kuruharan:

If it is "yes" then the translation of that post is that The Saucepan Man is not online right now or Shelob hasn't yet been able to clear her turning on him with him yet.

I have no idea what he meant by that but, whatever he did mean, it seems to be reading far too much into what was clearly a flippant comment.

This issue is really down to a question of Saucepan or me.

A curious comment. I am not aware that anyone has given any indication of voting for Kuru today, so why would he say that? If he is staking his innocence on my guilt, it is a very risky tactic for a Werewolf, given that my innocence may very well soon be proved.

As I said, I really don't know what to make of these comments, but they stood out to me.

I doubt that I shall post again before I vote as I have work to be getting on with. But, given the situation, I shall almost certainly be voting for the phantom. I will not vote now, as I would like to avoid any possibility of both he and I being lynched. If it looks like that could happen, I shall either not vote, or vote for someone else. I would rather that I die alone than have two innocents die today (and I have no certainty that the phantom is guilty).