Quote:
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Originally Posted by the phantom
There are many people that I could work up a theory for (to accuse them), however, I have little confidence in any theory. I know absolutely nothing, and I know that all the other villagers are in a similar predicament.
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Amen to that! As I stated at the outset today, the outcome of yesterday has dented my confidence in my own efforts at deduction, and I find myself questioning the conclusions that I am reaching.
Take
Kuruharan, for example. Earlier today, I was convinced of his guilt on the basis that he edged me towards voting for
Evisse yesterday, was directing the voting towards me today and was protesting his innocence too much in the face of very few accusations against him. But this can all be explained innocently. His conclusions concerning
Evisse yesterday may well (like mine) have been genuine, he may genuinely (but mistakenly) believe me to be a Werewolf and, if he is innocent, his protestations are understandable.
Kuru is still on my suspect list, but now I am now leaning much more towards
Shelob and
SoN.
Shelob has been present without saying much, she did a volte face yesterday concerning
Fordim’s proposals leading her to vote for
Evisse (who she was the first to vote for) and she was keen to point out the “double bluff” theory in connection with
TGWBS’s death, thus subtly implicating
Fordim.
SoN has been “lurking” (as
Oddwen puts it) in my view, and appears now and then to drop subtle hints, most recently joining those who are seeking to implicate
Fordim and myself. His vote yesterday remains unexplained, but might be looked on as an attempt to spread the voting and therefore possibly get two innocent Villagers lynched.
I will not vote yet. We still have over 4 hours ‘til the end of the day, and I would like to hear more from
Fordim,
Firefoot and
mormegil, the Villagers whose innocence I am currently most sure of (to the extent that we can be sure of anything at the moment). I am tending towards voting for either
Shelob or
SoN, but if I see any convincing arguments in favour of one of them, or against anyone else, I am willing to change my view.
Finally, it seems that quite a few are now edging towards voting for me. Fine. Lynch me of you wish. It would be a mistake, but I am not going to go overboard in defending myself. I would just point out that I have not exactly been backward in coming forward and in sharing my thoughts with everyone as they have developed. In other words, I have not been doing a very good job at deflecting attention away from myself. If I was a Werewolf, do you really think that I would be taking on the role of "sacrificial wolf" to draw attention away from the others?