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As for Morgoth's observation about Hurin not dying, could he have
seen aspects of Hurin's fate in the Music
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It is a thought but I doubt it. The Children came after the part of the Music that the Ainur participated in. None of the Valar really understood the Children very well. If any of them clearly understood the fate of any of the Children I would think it would be Mandos rather than Morgoth.
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Perhaps then
"curses" and "prophecies" might be a recognition by individuals now dwelling in Middle-earth of aspects of the Music, or Morgoth's meddling discordencies, rather then an active intervention towards individuals in Middle-earth?
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In spite of what I said above, I find this idea rather attractive. However, given what I said above I'm not sure how that would work.
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I nevertheless still submit that Hurin's fate was altered by the active intervention by Morgoth more than anything else.
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I'm inclined to agree. However, this gets back to the original problem. None of the Valar had the power to deny death to Men yet Sauron did it and I believe the implication is that Morgoth had the power to do so as well. Does this mean that the Valar had the technical ability to keep Men from dying to this world but their loyalty to Eru prevented them from exercising this power?