It cannot refer to the fall of Numenor, since the fall of Numenor had not yet taken place. The quote describes the reaction of the Men of Eriador when the first ships sailed back to Middle Earth from Numenor, over 2000 years before the fall of Numenor itself.
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"If you would be a real seeker after truth, you must at least once in your life doubt, as far as possible, all things." -- René Descartes
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